DOI: -

Keywords: Potential Demand, Passenger Projection, Airport, North Bali, Gravity Model

ABSTRACT

The capacity of Ngurah Rai Airport is estimated to be exceeded in 2042, so it is necessary to prepare a new airport to accommodate these potential passengers. This paper aims to identify the number of potential passengers to the new airport in North Bali. Passenger projection is used by considering the share obtained based on the gravity model. The calculation results show that the share of passengers to the new airport is estimated at 6% compared to the total number of passengers to Bali in 2024. This portion will change with the increase in infrastructure and tourism programs in North Bali. The potential for passengers to North Bali airport is 1.24 million in 2024 and 24.99 million in 2053. The proportion of international passengers is higher due to the characteristics of passengers who come from tourism. The potential for domestic passengers is smaller because of the many alternative modes used in Bali.